Will HD DVD be dead in one year?

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The Blu-ray group did not have flashy demos to match the HD DVD press conference, but announced that it will be shipping 4x BD-R discs "within a few weeks." These discs will be able to deliver a sustained data write rate of 144 Mb/s, compared to the current 72 Mb/s. Media and recorders that support 4x speed are expected to become available during Q2 of this year.

In the end, the group believes that Blu-ray is strong enough to replace HD DVD. According to a press release that quoted Frank Simonis, chairman of the European arm of the Blu-ray Disc Association, the group expects Blu-ray to become "the successor format to the DVD within three years." Walstra, however went a step further and told us that he believes that Blu-ray will win the battle within one year.
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Ein Grund für diesen Siegeswillen soll laut dem Blu Ray Kommitee die Unterstützung seitens der Filmindustrie sein. 7 von 8 Studios setzen auf Blu Ray. Zudem sorgt die PS3 für eine globale Verbreitung(naja zumindest bald. ).

Die HD DVD Fraktion kontert dagegen mit einem riesigen Werbebudget und verkündet großartige Zahlen.